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Help with a Statistics Homework Problem? |
A new technology has been developed to test for HIV. If a patient has HIV, there is a probability of .96 the test will detect it. If the person does not have HIV, there is a .05 probability the test will conclude that they do (a false positive). Assume that in reality, only 2 out of 100 people actually have HIV. Here is what may be an unusual way to do it. Consider 10,000 people. Of these 2% or 200 will actually have HIV. Of that 200, 96% or 192 will test positive. Of the other 9,800 people who do not have HIV there will still be 5% or 490 that wrongly test positive. Let |
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